"Russia has no strategy to win," Chuck Pfarrer with Jason Smart
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Published 2024-07-26
What should perhaps worry Russian soldiers even more? According to Chuck Pfarrer, Russia has no plan and no strategy to win, something that he makes the case for in this interview with Jason Jay Smart.
Pfarrer points out the many signs that Russia has neither the strategic nor tactical ability to execute complex missions. Russia, time and again, fails to make significant headway in Ukraine and is facing increasingly hostile troops unwilling to become cannon fodder.
Pfarrer, who has advised the “full alphabet soup” of US national security agencies and is a leading figure in the analysis of the war in Ukraine, is a new special correspondent for the Kyiv Post. Here, he explains why Russia’s losses so far have been disastrous and why an abysmal summer awaits the Kremlin. Russians soon to be mobilized should not delude themselves with fantasies of victory: Like nearly all of the Russian soldiers who participated in the initial full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the newbie Russian troops will be heading straight to the meat-grinder.
After his service in the US Navy, Pfarrer served public and private sector clients as a military and counter-terrorism contractor and non-proliferation expert. Pfarrer has written extensively on counter-WMD proliferation and gray zone operations. He has written an op-ed for the New York Times and the Knight-Ridder Syndicate and has appeared as a writer and counterterrorism expert on CNN, ABC, MSNBC, Fox, CSPAN, NPR, Voice of America, Al Jazeera, Al Hurra, IPR, and America tonight.
Chuck Pfarrer and Jason Smart are both Special Correspondents for Kyiv Post.
Chapters:
00:00 Intro
00:12 Russia's major defeat yesterday.
04:02 What would a NATO country do if a unit's leadership failed so badly?
06:21 Russia has lost almost 90% of its troops from the initial invasion & it is getting worse.
09:22 Russian military hardware, like Russian soldiers, is dying-off.
12:10 Russia has no strategy to win.
15:40 Thank you for your service, Chuck!
All Comments (21)
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I dont want to get my hopes up. Regardless whether Chuck is right or not, Ukraine needs more support. We need to focus on increasing our support to Ukraine to finish this war quicker
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and as a caveat I saw a photo of a disabled T-55 with a cope cage with its tracks blown out due to mines somewhere in Ukraine, and it still had markings denoting it was deployed to Hungary during the 1956 revolution. its that bad.
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Thanks Chuck And Jason such facts based analysis is truly what is needed to Break through all these Russian lies.
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Chuck Pfarrer and Ben Hodges are my two favorites.
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Brilliant presentation, men. I was the oldest male in my family and the only one eligible to go to Vietnam. I was in college and had good grades, which protected me from the first draft notice I received. My lottery number was 196 and just before Thanksgiving, they called up everyone 187 and lower. I was sure that I was going to be called up if they pulled in the next round since I was only 9 numbers above the last cutoff point. I forgot to say that as a freshman, I was in Army ROTC. I quit ROTC because I could see that the US military had no plan to win. My buddies that had gone to Vietnam came home either tucked up or in bags. My dad was a senior in college in 1941 and enlisted in the USN on Monday, December 8th. He and I had vastly different perspectives on fighting in the US military. At Thanksgiving dinner, Dad commented that it looked like I would be packing my bags soon. I simply said, "Yes." He said I had to do what I had to do and I said, "Yes, I know." We lived in Washington and owned 50 acres in B.C. I told Dad that I would be OK in Canada. That cost me about 35-40 years with my dad. Chuck, thanks for saying what you said at the end of your presentation. It was what I knew about Vietnam. Dad could not see that Vietnam was not the same as WWII. I would willingly fight for my country, Vietnam was not that. At 73, I a very fortunate to look, feel, and act like I'm a health 60 year old. I'm in the process of moving to a farm I bought 3 years ago. I'm writing this to you from that farm right now. It is beautiful here right now in Älgered, Sverige, about 3 hours north of Stockholm. Not going to Vietnam cost me a lot. Dad and I had 10 good years before he died. Taking the risk of living my truth made all the difference. I'm now watching the war in Ukraine from my farm in NATO's newest member. That's a win. Thanks for what you said, Chuck. We still do not know what Putin will do, but I'm still willing and able to stand up and fight for what is right.
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It’s always a pleasure to hear Chuck’s expert analysis. 🇺🇦
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Good review, the Ukrainians are doing their best but the West still isn’t supporting them enough to win this war and it’s frustrating and disappointing 😞
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Mr. Pfarrer's comments are always welcome and IMO desparately needed on western MSM channels... his analysis of operational logistics are spot-on. Thank you Kyiv Post/Jason for your wonderful programming... please continue and amp-up your efforts such that hopefully soon we will read KP verbiage in our local newspapers... it seems to me AP News has a stranglehold on most newsrooms here and AP seems heavily biased in RU's favour... regurgitating TASS discord. From Ontario, Canada... no negotiations until Ukraine says so... Slava Ukraini!
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There seems to be a myth that once the corruption in the Russian military was exposed, it was fixed. The reality is that knowing about corruption and fixing the corruption are two very different things.
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Great interview, Chuck! Very balanced and with lots of insight.
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Great interview!! Chuck is very knowledgeable!!
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Chuck's book "Warrior Soul" is a favorite -- so well written. I live not far from the Beirut Memorial, his perspective on the '83 attack lends immediacy to that tragic event. Good to see an honest soul still on the case, regarding history as it unfolds.
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Chuck always gives one of the best battlefield analysis on YouTube, Chuck is a legend. Chuck has forgotten more than most of us will ever know 🇺🇸🇺🇦
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Morale of the only true metric of how the army’s faring. Poor morale is indicative of everybody knows that things are bad. It’s not something you can buy and it’s not something you can fake.
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I have to assume they don't attack at night because they can't.
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Thankyou Jason and Chuck. You have made my weekend a happier one. Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦
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Great to listen to people who know what they're talking about
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Makes me wonder how well the tail end of the Brave Sir Robin song lyrics would translate into Russian. Brave Sir Robin ran away. Bravely ran away away. When danger reared it's ugly head, He bravely turned his tail and fled. Yes, brave Sir Robin turned about And gallantly he chickened out. Swiftly taking to his feet, He beat a very brave retreat. Bravest of the brave, Sir Robin!
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well the last time the Russians deployed the T-55 , 54 in large numbers was during the invasion of Czechoslovakia in 1968. And as I recall during the 80s, the Soviet army did not field the T-55 and T-54s they gave these tanks to their client states, the Soviets units deployed in Afghanistan category C units from Central Asia used T-62s, they gave T-55s to their allied puppet Afghan National army, if during a war the Soviet army starts fielding T-55s in large numbers , then it would be scraping the bottom of the barrell and their front line Category A B and C units have been decimated. Yep same thing is happening to Russia the successor state to teh USSR in this war. The Russians are losing this war.
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Their plan ???? Poor judge ment
