Cold change coming - but so too is an enormous block of high pressure
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Published 2024-04-29
In the meantime it will help usher in a windy and colder/cooler south to south-westerly flow across the nation, moving up the South Island on Wednesday and falling apart over the North Island by Thursday.
Behind it is cooler, windier, weather with showers about - but a mostly dry forecast starts to develop as that high near Australia remains where it is…and then next week looks to drift in towards NZ. At this time of year even high pressure can bring showers, and remember the centre of the high is a long way from NZ, we’re on the outer edges of it for at least 7 days before it moves closer.
Don’t forget our monthly ClimateWatch update is out on Wednesday afternoon, May 1st, taking a look at the likely rain and temperature trends as we go into May. El Nino may be over but the weather is a bigger beast and we’re not seeing an immediate change yet to the pattern around New Zealand and large parts of Australia.
All Comments (21)
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As always appreciate the clarity of your forecast.
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Cool morning in the BOP fine as well,thank you for the wonderful update today.
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Great to see you looking so well, Phil. Have a wonderful week ahead in N.Z. Looking forward to the next Aus. weather update. xx
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Hi Phil, beautiful day today, loving this weather 😊😊❤
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Hi Phil. The high in the bight is the strongest since 1967. At 00z the cetral pressure was 1043 hpa.
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Thanks phil...I look forward to your updates...have a great arvo x
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I appreciate your work, thank you
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Looking good for fishing off the Canterbury coast at the weekend. Thanks for sorting that out. I'm planning on fishing the next 3 Saturdays so if you can sort off shore wind and swell for Canterbury that will be great. Thanks for another great forecast.
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Thank you.. I think.. & let's hope that high next week doesn't change it's mind!!
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Great forecast......
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thanks from Christchurch
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Thx Phil ✋️
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Hi, thank you for your update. Cheers.
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Thank you for the update and for beautiful day in Christchurch. We shall make the most of it. Take care.
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Just watching you at 4.30 pm Tuesday from Cranebrook in western Sydney & it is growing very dark but also the temperature is dropping with the cold air coming up from the south with the high pressure so I am hoping for some rain as my pot plant needs watering but I am also having to find something warmer to put on as I am feeling the cold.
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On venstucky weather map shows high pressure slow moving .
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Next update 1/5/24
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if we don't get some real rain soon next summer is going to be an absolute disaster !
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Cheers Phil , beautiful day here in Auckland .
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We are not America it is the 1st of May tomorrow!
