The Future Has Always Been Crazier Than We Thought | Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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Published 2020-03-16
"The Future Has Always Been Crazier Than We Thought" was given on February 04, 02008 as part of Long Now's Seminar series. The series was started in 02003 to build a compelling body of ideas about long-term thinking from some of the world's leading thinkers. The Seminars take place in San Francisco and are curated and hosted by Stewart Brand. To follow the talks, you can:
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All Comments (21)
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"The stock market is the opiate of the middle class". So many gems in this talk, but that takes the cake.
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When he said he could only tell someone what NOT to do, it reminded me of my favorite definition of an expert: someone who knows the things most likely to go wrong and how to avoid them, e.g. what NOT to do.
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This man is a genius in his field and also a comic genius!
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“It is the glory of God to conceal a matter; to search out a matter is the glory of kings.”. Proverbs 25:2
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At 47:32. Absolutely priceless commentary on the 1 in 10,000 years events. Love the photo, it looks like me.
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The first time I have realized that I have done so many things wrong
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I love listening to Mr Taleb! Never knew of this talk in 2008
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Thank you for sharing this.
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Thanks long now it’s one of best talks of Taleb that I’ve found.
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Probably the best Taleb talk out there. It's crazy how all my idols seem to congregate to Long Now ! Thanks for the amazing work!
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I have to listen to Taleb at .75 speed to have a chance of really following him. The speed of his speech, plus his accent plus the complexity of his ideas.
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A skeptical empiricist—right, on!
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A stunning intellect
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18:04 How to turn lack of knowledge and lack of understanding into action? for me this question was life changing!
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Maybe if we had billion plus views on videos of these Kind and not on Justin Beiber songs We might be well prepared to deal with the Pandemic of COVID-19
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I was on a flight home to D.F and met a woman from Leon and we talked from S.L.C. to Mexico. In Dallas she disappeared for 10 minutes and came back with The Black Swan. This was 2008. It was the last book I would have ever read. As a book of non fiction it is a book that I return to over and over. Pound for paragraph, my favorite book..Thanks, Stewart, I got my first Whole Earth Catalogue in 1970. Wow.
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43:32 - gliding more and more into concentrated disorder
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[ 9:00 ] it's like: "armor the parts that weren't hit."
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Good lecture, I wonder if how should I interpret the fact that Long Now Foundation apparently did not predict that 240 p might not be desirable resolution in the future. (This does not mean it was acceptable in 2008 either...interesting...telling....both?)
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1:19:50 The question is, why are some people vastly smarter than others? What are the factors and how can we get more?
