The Fourth Turning: What past generations can teach us about our future

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Published 2022-07-01
There’s no denying that you and I are part of a significant inflection point in human history. We are living in interesting times. In this video you will see a 2022 conversation in front of a small audience with historian and demographer, Neil Howe, as we discuss: the patterns of human history, a long-view perspective on the current charge of events, and, most importantly, hope for our future.

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If you’ve been with me before, you’ve heard me say that ANTICIPATION IS POWER and PATTERN RECOGNITION is a huge key to intelligent decision making. Neil Howe’s theory is all about the patterns of the past and what they suggest we can anticipate in the future.

Howe and his co-author William Strauss wrote two extremely impactful books – Generations (published in 1991) and The Fourth Turning (published in 1997).

Strauss and Howe theory considers the 4-stage cycle that repeats every 80-100 years (approximately the length of a human life, also referred to as a saeculum).

Their books suggest four turnings of history:
1. A High
2. An Awakening
3. An Unravelling
4. (Culminating in) A Crisis

If you’re feeling stressed, overwhelmed, or uncertain about all that’s happening in the world, consider that a cycle of crisis predictably includes massive economic, cultural, political, religious, military, and broad institutional disruption. What can be helpful to remember in these times is that no storm lasts forever, and this too shall pass. Watch the video for Neil’s insights and predictions on how much longer this Fourth Turning will last.

NOTE FOR THOSE WHO HAVE NOT READ THE BOOKS:
Additionally, one can consider four generational archetypes (a fancy word for patterns) of people born in the same era and coming of age shaped by the same historical events. The four archetypes Strauss and Howe use to describe generational cohorts are: Prophets, Nomads, Heroes, and Artists. So, for example, Millennials fall into the Hero archetype, while Gen Xers are Nomads, and Baby Boomers are Prophets. The generation born in or after 2005 are Artists. As each archetypal generation reaches the end of its 80-year lifespan, the cycle repeats.

GET A COPY OF NEIL HOWE'S LATEST BOOK,
"THE FOURTH TURNING IS HERE: WHAT THE SEASONS OF HISTORY TELL US ABOUT HOW AND WHEN THIS CRISIS WILL END" - bit.ly/fourthturningishere


FREE Copy of Tony's UNSHAKEABLE Book:
www.unshakeable.com/

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Tony Robbins is a #1 New York Times best-selling author, entrepreneur, and philanthropist. For more than 37 years, millions of people have enjoyed the warmth, humor and dynamic presentation of Mr. Robbins' corporate and personal development events. As the nation's #1 life and business strategist, he's called upon to consult and coach some of the world's finest athletes, entertainers, Fortune 500 CEOs, and even presidents of nations.

All Comments (21)
  • @xorbitman
    The company I worked for, "Chubb Alarm" paid for your Seminar which was held at a hotel conference room in Laval. After your seminar and listening to your tapes, I got inspired to change my life and my life goals as far as work was concerned. 2 years later while working for a contract manufacturing company and studying how to open a business, I started my own MFG representation company in industrial electronics....telecom, computers, flight sims and I had an amazing career and once I realized I could do that I bought a company specialized in software quality assurance consulting; I got certified and hired consultants some earing as high as over $150 hr and signed contracts with some of the best companies in Montreal. Today I'm retired and still like to listen to you because you truly are inspiring. Thank you!
  • @PeterKontor
    I was born in 1980 in Poland. Grew up in hyperinflation and communism environment. It definitely engraved in my subconscious mind how bad environment can get. Now I'm anticipating the same globally and I've been getting ready for it over past 4 years. Be aware and be kind.
  • The “discourse” from our politicians is ridiculous. We are being pushed into 3rd world lifestyle on every level. Thank you for this honest conversation. 😊❤️
  • The Fourth Turning book, challenging to read but knowledge worth knowing. Thank you Tony for always sharing the knowledge! God Bless❤️
  • I’ve been following Neil for about 6 years now. This is by far the best interview I’ve seen him give. Well done Tony!
  • @k.k.6058
    I find Neil actually more optimistic than I am. I think we are in the fight of our lives right now but many can’t even see a fight is necessary. More awakening needs to happen first or there will be civil war at the same time as a global war.
  • @barmantvph
    I am a professional bartender, I was listening and literally waiting for his bottled water to drink it. We are grateful for this talk.
  • This book changed my life. Dr. Campbell, long since passed. Thank you for giving me this gift. And thank you Neil Howe and William Strauss for the knowledge. And finally, Tony, I am never disappointed by your book recommendations. Thank you all- so much of my success has been based on understanding the wisdom in this book.
  • @moniqm3607
    This was absolutely fascinating, I could literally listen to Neil & Tony all day. Thank you so much Tony for sharing this amazing talk with us. 🙏💞🌏💞🙏
  • This interview was very transcending for me. I kept getting visions and downloads and ideas that were just flowing through me. I couldn't write fast enough. I was given a lot of clarity, especially as I began to watch key points again the following day. I'm sure it is no coincidence that I found this interview at this particular time. I have been wanting to connect to Tony and Dean (Graziosi) for quite some time to share my ideas and my life purpose with them. I have a close contact with Dean that I will soon be reaching out to. I needed to wait until the time was right so as to not waste anyone's time. I am in the winter of my life but will most certainly have more springs, and summers, God-willing. If not I am totally fine with that too. Thank you, Tony and Neil, for this insightful lecture. I wish everyone reading this peace, love, unity, goodwill, God's will, and joy rising. Keep shining onward!
  • @CoachDAngelo
    "Phases of Life are Dilating" "Creation-Destruction-Creation" Everything is temporary! Excellent interview. Thank you Tony. Thank you Neil ;)
  • The reason the guys in Washington seem incompetent is that we assume they aren’t intentionally destroying our economy. Once you stop assuming and just look at the results, you realize they know exactly what they are doing. Just because you would never intentionally make millions suffer, government would and do this regularly.
  • @paulh2468
    Read the 4th Turning in 2011. It still has a major effect on my thinking about the world, and what will probably happen in the future. In my top 5 must-read books.
  • Thank you for always introducing us to wise guests, Tony. Neil was one of the best; I learned a tremendous amount from watching this. Thank you!!!
  • @leeow3n
    hard times create strong minds, strong minds create good times, good times create weak minds, weak minds create hard times... I see where we are in the cycle.
  • @BrianSchoedel
    Thank you so much for bringing Neil on. These insights are so important for people to be self aware of themselves, others and their place in history in order to navigate through these turbulent times.
  • @NathalieLazo
    Remarkable person reading this.. It’s going to get better; all it is a season of opportunity to grow and be better than before. Challenging times are meant to strengthen us, not to break us. Success doesn’t define to what happened to us; it is how we choose to deal with our circumstances. The more you grow and develop as an incredible person as you are, the more things will change for the better. Forgive more (for you), be grateful for even the smallest things (we have it way better than someone else), choose love over ego, choose humility over ego (humility is strength), and finally, invest into new skills so that your future self will thank you. Our lives will change forever the more we grow. Be thankful for the challenges for we know something greater is coming. Love you always - Nathalie ✨❤️
  • @ThePope37
    Simply outstanding!! Thank you Neil and Tony for letting us in to a moment of absolute needed truth.
  • Born in 1975, turned 21 in 1996. My youngest was born in 2006 and now is turning 17. She already had in her mind that she wants to make her own money at the age of 4. She'd ask for chores that she could get paid for. Now she works in a corporate fast food chain and makes more money than I ever did at her age. My oldest daughter will be 24 this year. She has her own business and does side work at venues around town. Also dresses as princesses for girls birthday parties. I am blessed to see my girls thriving even in the middle of the pandemic. I am so proud of my girls and their ability to not let anything or anyone stop them. I learned that mentality from my own father who had an entrepreneur spirit and it's his footsteps that I follow today. Thank you Tony Robbins For an informative video. 💜💕🔥👑🔥💕💜
  • Tony, thank you for reframing what is happening in our societies. Terrific history lessons.